Highlights from the latest SEB House View
The committee increased the risk utilisation from 55 per cent to 60 per cent.
- Risk utilisation: The increased risk reflects greater confidence in global growth, supportive fiscal and monetary policy, and improving productivity trends.
- Regional tilt: Europe and Nordics remain overweight with stronger conviction due to better macro visibility and valuation support. U.S. stays underweight amid elevated valuations and asymmetric downside risk. EM remains neutral after a strong rally.
- Equity sectors:
- Information Technology downgraded to neutral, due to risks from excessive AI-related optimism and concentration.
- Communication Services downgraded to underweight due to stretched valuations and elevated expectations.
- Consumer Discretionary upgraded to neutral, due to macro stabilization and rate cuts support confidence.
- Materials upgraded neutral, due to cyclical recovery and improved sentiment.
- Financials and Health Care remain overweight on improving fundamentals and tariff relief.
- Fixed Income / FX remains underweight High Yield, Neutral Government Bonds, and bearish USD, expecting SEK strength on improving growth.